Tropical Depression near Corpus Cristi TX this morning will move to Houston Sunday morning and then Louisiana Monday. Another tropical depression will form over the western Gulf of Mexico Tuesday, September 22.

A hurricane may affect the Caribbean islands beginning Sept 24.

A tropical depression will form in the northwest Gulf of Mexico Friday and then move slowly northward, reaching the Louisiana coast Sunday. From there it will drift to the Mobile, Alabama area Monday and Tuesday the across south Georgia.

Another tropical depression will develop over the Bay of Campeche next Thursday and that system will reach northern Mexico on Saturday the 19th.

Otherwise, a large fall storm will drift across the north Pacific and bring a combo of heavy rain and gusty winds to British Columbia and Washington next week.

Well, where’s Autumn? Cold air is piling up in Canada but the warm air south of 50N across North America doesn’t want to budge very much.

The only things we see that could be affecting the weather pattern is a warm spot in the Pacific that developed in early August around 40N 140W and one over the North Atlantic near 45N 55W. The Pacific one cooled a couple of weeks ago but there is some sort of time lag going on.

One thing is for sure, the North Pacific is cooling so the jet stream should take a dive south across North America at some point. We’re betting the computer models don’t have a solid clue as to what’s going on and the long range models will do an abrupt shift in their predictions within a couple of days to a cooler forecast.

El Nino is still in play and looks to be weak to moderate at this point.

The weather is going to be quiet for a while. Except for the Southwest.

Temperatures this week will be 90 to 105 across California, Nevada, New Mexico and Arizona and portions of Utah, and that will increase the threat of wildfires.

The next Atlantic tropical storm will remain well out at sea and the next threat of a tropical storm affecting the U.S. will be along the Gulf of Mexico in mid- to late September.

There are a coupe of times each year when the weather across the U.S. relaxes, takes a breather if you will. Typically these week long stretches occur in February, August and October. This coming week will be one of them.

Once Danny heads off to Iceland, the weather pattern across the country will be in a relatively quiet summer mode. There won’t be large scale storms. Fires will burn in the American West and some will break out in the dry areas of the east, but those are generally the product of long-term conditions touched off by a brief local trigger.

Next Friday (Sept 4) changes will be occurring out west. A storm system will develop over the Canadian and northern U.S. Rockies. This will be a product of the remnants of Bill making a pass at North America for the Labor Day weekend.

But, the big change is coming mid-September – around the 15th. That still looks like our first chance for some snow and record cold.

Looks like Danny will dump a good 12 inches of rain on Massachusetts, Connecticut, Rhode Island, eastern Maine and southeast New York Friday and Saturday. For the most part it will be a minimal hurricane.

Tropical Storm Danny is on track to become a minimal hurricane Thursday night or Friday morning. Danny is located 750mi south-southeast of Cape Hatteras and will be about 50 mi east of Cape Hatteras Friday morning with maximum sustained winds of 75 mph.

The storm will intensify as it interacts with a cold front east of New Jersey on Saturday, bring heavy rain, surf and strong winds to the New Jersey coast, southeast New York, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Rhode Island and Maine. Winds will top 90 mph at sea and 70 mph on land.

Rainfall in some areas will exceed 8 inches. Danny should cross Labrador on Sunday.

Cold air will plunge into the Great Lakes region this weekend and early next week. Temperatures will dive 20 degrees below normal.

Other than the Atlantic tropical depression/storm off the east coast, the weather across the US will ordinary for this time of year. The western half of the country is beginning to cool down. Showers and thunderstorms will be scattered across the southern and central Plains into the Great Lakes and Ohio River Valley. Showers and thunderstorms will also be scattered across the southeastern part of the country. Florida will be especially wet – with local rainfall exceeding 4 inches.

There is a tropical depression about 350 mi ENE San Juan,  Puerto Rico this morning. It is moving WNW will become a tropical storm Wednesday night about 1000 mi east of Jacksonville, Florida.

From there it will move very slowly to the NNW into the weekend. By Saturday it will be located about 600 mi east of Atlantic City, New Jersey.

It is possible that it might briefly reach hurricane force sometime Friday but quickly weaken as it gets caught up with a cold front.

Starting to rethink the Labor Day weekend forecast. The remnants of Bill will have made back to North America by that time. Might be a big late summer/early fall storm followed by a cold snap.